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Thursday, August 25, 2022

Random quote
The average expert is roughly as accurate as a dart-throwing chimpanzee

Philip E. Tetlock (1954-)

1 comment:

Paul D. Van Pelt said...

I like that one. A lot! A thinker from my generation---good to know there are a few of us left. The twenty-first century was the birthtime of expertise, to hear the experts tell it. Not saying there have been none since 2000. Given some more time, a new crop will sprout. There was a flourish after 1950. Feynman and others made a mark. I worry about AI and hopes pinned on that donkey. Well. Experts will sort it out. Maybe.