It is generally surprising these days that war could arise in our time, in our Europe, between civilized states. … But waging war, that is, trying to give themselves justice through the arms, at some point does every person and every group, who feel no law, protective or threatening, above them.
Wednesday, June 26, 2024
It is generally surprising these days that war could arise in our time, in our Europe, between civilized states. … But waging war, that is, trying to give themselves justice through the arms, at some point does every person and every group, who feel no law, protective or threatening, above them.
Monday, June 24, 2024
Montaigne as a psychologist
When psychology did not yet exist as a separate science, so before the mid-19th century, it was part of philosophy and especially philosophers wrote about psychological themes. So, if you didn’t want to follow the commonsense psychological advices of your family and friends or other persons you trusted, or if you didn’t trust your own commonsense views, you tried to find out what philosophers had written about your problem or how philosophers could provide an answer to your question. So you turned to Aristotle, or Spinoza or to another thinker. Also Montaigne wrote sometimes about philosophical themes, for example in essay 4 of Book I of his Essays: “How the soul expends its passions upon false objects, when the true are missed”. Here, Montaigne tells us that people who are frustrated often direct themselves to the wrong object in order to take it out; especially, when there is no other way or no decent way to do something about your frustration. For instance, Montaigne tells us that “a gentleman of [his] country] marvellously tormented with the gout … [said] in the extremity of his [pains] he must needs have something to quarrel with, and that railing at and cursing, one while the Bologna sausages, and another the dried tongues and the hams, was some mitigation to his pain.”
Some other examples mentioned by Montaigne: Pulling your hair out of sorrow. Or the Persian King Xerxes who whipped the Hellespont because a gale had destroyed the bridges he was building. Or “Caligula demolished a very beautiful palace for the pleasure his mother had once enjoyed there.” Some wanted to punish even God or their gods, because they hadn’t helped them or had obstructed their plans.
I think it is a kind of behaviour that most of us know or even have performed themselves. You give a kick against the door or other object, because you are frustrated, although these objects don’t have any relationship with your frustration (and if they would have, even then they couldn’t help, for objects have no will). Others become aggressive, for instance football supporters, because their club has lost a match. Examples abound, and you’ll certainly find more, either because you sometimes behaved so, or because you have seen others doing so or have heard of it.
At first glance, it seems that Montaigne mocks this kind of behaviour, and some Montaigne interpreters explain the essay this way. Doesn’t Montaigne mention such behaviour “folly”? However, a closer reading of the essay shows a deep psychological insight into the matter. For Montaigne doesn’t only ridicule the behaviour, but he explains also its causes: “So it seems that the soul, being transported and discomposed, turns its violence upon itself, if not supplied with something to oppose it, and therefore always requires an object at which to aim, and whereon to act.” And if we cannot find an object that fits the frustration, we look for something else, even if it has nothing to do with the frustration. “And we see that the soul, in its passions, inclines rather to deceive itself, by creating a false and fantastical subject, even contrary to its own belief, than not to have something to work upon.”
This is a deep insight, for once we know the causes of our frustrated and irrational behaviour, we can try to do something about it and to look for a reasonable alternative or to learn to behave ourselves. And that’s what modern psychologists do. On the internet, for instance, you can find many tips how to control your frustration and how to lead it in a positive direction. To give your soul an object, in Montaigne’s terms. Montaigne himself did not do so, but at the end of the essay, he gives us the good advice to restrain ourselves, for it has no sense to let yourself go. Or address your frustration to yourself: “We can never enough decry the disorderly sallies of our minds.” But isn’t this what we do, when we pull our hair out of sorrow?
Wednesday, June 19, 2024
Monday, June 10, 2024
On sorrow
Emotions are complex, and we all have them. It’s why Montaigne writes so often about them. For example, the second essay in Book I of his Essays is dedicated to the emotion “tristesse”, which can be translated as sorrow, sadness or grief. It’s an emotion many people have and maybe he has it more than the average people, Montaigne says. And – what he doesn’t say in this essay, though –wasn’t his whole essay-project built on this same emotion? Hadn’t Montaigne started to write his essays because of his grief for his late friend Étienne de la Boétie, a grief that again and again comes to the surface in his Essays? And the whole world is steeped in this emotion, whether we call it sorrow, sadness or grief, which are all aspects of the same, to that extent that the world “is pleased to grace it with a particular esteem, clothing therewith wisdom, virtue, and conscience.” Montaigne doesn’t like this. It is “foolish and sordid guise”.
Sorrow is a fickle, multi-faced emotion. It’s not “what you see is what you get”. The emotion you see on the face or in the behaviour of a human, doesn’t need to be the emotion that this person feels in the heart. It’s so for all emotions but maybe in particular it is so for the emotion of sorrow (to use one word for the sorrow-sadness-grief emotional complex). Montaigne illustrates this with several examples. First he tells us the story of Psammenitus, an Egyptian king who was defeated and taken prisoner. He saw his daughter passing, who had been made a slave, and he showed no emotion. Then Psammenitus saw his son led away to execution, and still he showed no emotion. Then he saw one of his domestic and familiar friends brought in among the captives, and only then did Psammenitus show extreme sadness. Why only then? Didn’t he care about his daughter and son? No. When asked, Psammenitus said: “It is … because only this last affliction was to be manifested by tears, the two first far exceeding all manner of expression.” Our sorrow can be so great and intense that we cannot express it.
A second case told by Montaigne is at first sight the same. It is about “a prince of our own nation, who is at Trent and has news there brought him of the death of his elder brother, a brother on whom depended the whole support and honour of his house, and soon after of that of a younger brother, the second hope of his family.” The prince received the news apparently emotionless and cold-hearted. However, when a few days later one of his servants died, the prince was overcome with sorrow to that extent that “that some thence were forward to conclude that he was only touched to the quick by this last stroke of fortune”. However, “in truth, it was, that being before brimful of grief, the least addition overflowed the bounds of all patience.” Sorrow can become more than we can bear.
We can become petrified with sorrow, as these and other examples by Montaigne show. And just this is the deepest, the strongest sorrow. Quoting Petrarca, Montaigne tells us that those who can tell us how much they suffer, actually don’t suffer very much. However, as Montaigne also shows in this essay, sorrow is not too different from joy. They are the opposite poles of the same emotions and in that respect they are the same. Actually, pure emotions don’t exist, so Montaigne tells us in his essay “That we taste nothing pure” (Book II, 20). Both our sorrows and our joys, both our negative experiences and our positive experiences are mixed and contain at least a bit of the opposite. “Of the pleasure and goods that we enjoy, there is not one exempt from some mixture of ill and inconvenience”, as he says there, which he illustrates with a quotation from Lucretius: “From the very fountain of our pleasure, something rises that is bitter, which even in flowers destroys”. “Our extremest pleasure has some sort of groaning and complaining in it…”. Montaigne would certainly agree with the opposite, since it follows from what he writes in both essays discussed here. Death often means the end of suffering. A soldier who has fallen has contributed to saving his country. In his essay “That we taste nothing pure” Montaigne tells us that the “confusion” between joy and sadness can be seen well, when painters hold, “that the same motions and grimaces of the face that serve for weeping; serve for laughter too”. This is actually an exemplification of the fact that both pure delight and pure sorrow do not exist. Besides this, expressions of joy are often not too different from expressions of sorrow. We don’t know what to say when an extreme happiness overcomes us.
And Montaigne himself? Sadness of the death of his dear friend Étienne de La Boétie is in the background of his essays and sometimes it comes to the surface. It is also the background of his life. But as we see in Book III of the Essays, in the end gradually the sadness fades away, although it never becomes zero. The good memories remain, but sorrow is seldom eternal in the sense that it remains to dominate life. As such, Montaigne has never been very subject to violent emotions, he says. “I am naturally of a stubborn apprehension, which also, by reasoning, I every day harden and fortify.” After a difficult time, we often come back stronger.
Thursday, June 06, 2024
Monday, June 03, 2024
What is true
anarchism anthropomorphism atheism
atomism Bayesianism behaviourism
Buddhism capitalism Cartesianism
Christianism cohenterism communism
communitarism compatibilism computationalism
conceptualism Confucianism connectionism
consequentialism constitutivism constructivism
contextualism conventionalism critical rationalism
cynism Daoism Darwinisme
decisionism deconstructivism deism
determinism disjunctivism dualism
egalitarianism eliminativism empiricism
enactivism Epicurism epiphenomalism
essentialism existentialism expressivism
externalism fallibilism falsificationism
fascism feminism Fichteanisme
fictionalism fideism finitism
formalism foundationalism foundherentism
functionalism Hegelianism Hinduism
historicism holism humanism
hylomorfism idealism illusionism
incompatibilism indeterminism inductivism
infallibilism infinitism innatism
internalism interpretivism Jainism
Kantianism Leninism liberalism
libertarianism Marxism materialism
mentalism mercantilism modernism
monism nationalism naturalism
Nazism Neo-Marxism Neo-Platonism
nihilism nominalism normativism
objectivism Orthodoxism panpsychism
particularism personalism perspectivism
physicalism Platonism populism
positivism postmodernism pragmatism
probabilism proceduralism Protestantism
Pyrrhonism quietism rationalism
realism reductionism reformism
relativism reliabilism representationalism
republicanism Roman-Catholicism scientism
secularianism situationism socialism
skepticism solipsism Spinozism
Stalinism Stoicism structuralism
subjectivism Sufism Taoism
theism Thomism totalitarianism
transactionalism utopism veritism
verificationism vitalism voluntarism
wokeism
Etc.
The above list is an
arbitrary list of -isms that I have found on the internet and in my own computer files. It is certainly not all there is! Moreover, many of the specific -isms in
the list have a different meaning according to the theme you are interested in.
For example there is realism in political science and in philosophy. The -isms
in this list are mainly philosophical but not only. Besides this, many -isms
can be subdivided. Take dualism. There is an ontological dualism and a
methodological dualism. Ontological dualism can be divided into three types of
dualism: substance dualism, property dualism and predicate dualisms. Seen that
way, my list is not more than an introduction to the ism-theory. In addition,
many -isms have a neo-, post-, and/or anti- version (some are in the list). So,
besides positivism, there is a neo-positivism, an anti-positivism and a
post-positivism. Or, to mention another limitation of my list: It refers mainly
to Western philosophy. The list is also arbitrary and one-sided since it
contains only -isms and no -ologies, -anities, etc. (it’s up to you to make such
lists).
However, with so many -isms inside and outside
philosophy, the main question in this blog is: Which -ism is true or which -isms
are true? But is this important? There simply is a view for everybody. Suum
cuique (To each their own)
Thursday, May 30, 2024
Monday, May 27, 2024
Polarisation
Who we are and what we do depends a lot on the people in our social environment; especially on those we directly interact with in one way or another. We see some we interact with as “us” and the rest as “the others”, and we behave accordingly, even to that extent that we may come to see “the others” as enemies; and sometimes even to that extent that we behave violently towards “the others”. It’s a well-established fact from social psychology. To see how it works, the Turkish-American social psychologist Muzafer Sherif and his colleagues performed in 1954 the so-called Robbers Cave Experiment. In this experiment, two groups of eleven 11 years old boys took part in a summer camp in Robbers Cave State Park in Oklahoma, USA. The boys in each group didn’t know about the other group. During the first part of the experiment the boys
“spent time with members of their own group... The groups chose names (the Eagles and the Rattlers), and each group developed their own group norms and group hierarchies. After a short period of time, the boys became aware that there was another group at camp and, upon learning of the other group, the campers group spoke negatively about the other group. At this point, the researchers began the next phase of the study: a competitive tournament between the groups, consisting of games such as baseball and tug-of-war, for which the winners would receive prizes and a trophy. [From now on] the relationship between the two groups quickly became tense. The groups began trading insults, and the conflict quickly spiraled. The teams each burned the other group’s team flag, and raided the other group’s cabin. The researchers also found that the group hostilities were apparent on surveys distributed to the campers: campers were asked to rate their own team and the other team on positive and negative traits, and the campers rated their own group more positively than the rival group. During this time, the researchers also noticed a change within the groups as well: the groups became more cohesive.” (quoted from the ThoughtCo website)
Before I’ll describe how the experiment ended, I want to look at what is happening around us in many countries in the world and especially in the Western world, but not only there. It was important for the experiment, that there were no fundamental differences between the Eagles and the Rattlers. The researchers had composed the groups (the background characteristics of the boys) as equal as possible, and the boys didn’t know each other before the camp started. So it was not this that the group rivalry could explain. Nevertheless, once they knew about the existence of each other, they began to see each other as rivals if not enemies. Just this makes the Robbers Camp Experiment interesting and important for understanding the growing polarisation in many countries, like the USA, the Netherlands, France, etc. For are the differences between the poles – let’s call them R and L for short – really that large that it is obvious that the present societies become polarized? Is there a real basis for the polarisation in the countries concerned and is the R-L split a reflection of real differences? Although I don’t want to deny that such differences exist, I think that the basic ground for the growing polarization is different, namely a sharp decrease in the number of contacts between different groups, views, ways of life, etc. in society. Nowadays. people interact with, deal with and get along with other people who are different from themselves less frequently than they did in the past. People interact less with people who are unlike themselves, have different views and opinions, have different lifestyles, are younger or older, etc. It is not that we should adopt the opinions, lifestyles, etc. from the people we meet, but by meeting others who are unlike “us”, we see that they are in many respects like “us”; they are as human as we are. In such a situation, if we disagree with “the others”, we are more prepared to try to make a deal with them, to find a consensus and to find common solutions, in case of conflict. However, nowadays it’s just the opposite that happens: People tend to limit their contacts more and more to their own bubbles. What happens then is shown by the Robbers Cave Experiment: Limited to your own bubble, more and more you tend to think: We are right and they are wrong. You tend to see those in other bubbles as rivals and enemies, with the use of violence against those you don’t agree with as the ultimate consequence. Society becomes polarized and once there this polarization increases itself.
But let me tell now how the Robbers Camp Experiment ended. I quote again from the ThoughtCo website:
To reduce the group conflict, the researchers “tried having the two groups work on what psychologists call superordinate goals, goals that both groups cared about, which they had to work together to achieve. For example, the camp’s water supply was cut off …, and the Eagles and Rattlers worked together to fix the problem. In another instance, a truck bringing the campers food wouldn’t start (again, an incident staged by the researchers), so members of both groups pulled on a rope to pull the broken truck. These activities didn’t immediately repair the relationship between the groups …, but working on shared goals eventually reduced conflict. The groups stopped calling each other names, perceptions of the other group (as measured by the researchers’ surveys) improved, and friendships even began to form with members of the other group. By the end of camp, some of the campers requested that everyone (from both groups) take the bus home together, and one group bought beverages for the other group on the ride home.”
So, once there, polarization can be reduced: Create common goals. Moreover, I think that as important as common goals – which creates an external enemy, and I wonder whether that is a good idea – are the interpersonal contacts that common goals involve. Since the present polarization in society is largely the consequence of the decrease of interactions between people with different backgrounds, I think that it is very important to restore such contacts again. Try to demolish interpersonal barriers between people and even more between groups of people. Make that people of different backgrounds come into contact with each other again. Institutionalize that people talk with each other; and then better in a café than in an official meeting. Mix them!
Thursday, May 23, 2024
Given that non-binding agreements have always failed to slow greenhouse gas emissions sufficiently in the past, is it rational to expect them to suddenly start doing so in the future? If the parties at an intergovernmental conference proclaim, ‘This time it’s different’, aren’t we right to disbelieve them?
Monday, May 20, 2024
Ten reasons why the global warming will not be stopped
A catastrophe is happening on this earth: the global warming. Experts and international organisations agree that it must be stopped; anyway that a 1.5 degree global warming is the maximum acceptable; okay, let’s say 2 degrees, for a recent report says that in the period from February 2023 to January 2024 the global warming was already 1.52C compared with the preindustrial era. [1] In the meantime many measures have already been taken to combat the global warming. But will humanity succeed or can it keep the temperature rise within the 2% limit? Here are ten reasons why the answer is NO.
- Planners and politicians tend to overestimate their skills and capabilities, leading to an underestimation of the time and costs needed for the projects concerned. So, the measures and plans proposed are often too optimistic or not realistic.
- Pressure to present too optimistic plans. Environmental groups put pressure on governments to take action. That’s okay, but the result is that the targets set are often not realistic and accordingly the plans and measures aren’t. This provokes resistance from groups hit by the measures, which makes the implementation of the plans is delayed.
- The effects of the global warming become increasingly clear but often they are still vague (they might have happened by chance; happen gradually, etc.) and casual (they hit some people more than others and also some people hardly or not). Moreover, there is no clear end date in the sense that at date X the world will collapse and come to an end because of the warming. This leads to, what I want to call, the “procrastination effect”: too many people (governments, international organisations but also individuals) tend to postpone measures that are necessary.
- Conflicting interests. A part of the measures against the global warming must be taken at world level, but, for example, oil producing countries will try to slow down the implementation, because they’ll lose a part of their income, while countries that are dependent on oil import have a reason for a quick implementation.
- The rich countries, which contribute much to the global warming, should have to give up their rich lifestyle and privileges, which they don’t want to do. At most, they want to stay at the level they have reached. In the first place, within the rich countries the richest people should give up their lifestyle and privileges, since they contribute by far above average to the global warming compared with the less rich people in the rich countries, but as yet there is no sign that this will happen.
- The poor countries, which contribute by far below average to the global warming, will not give up their plans for improving the standard of living of the poorest people in their already poor countries. With right, but the implementation of these plans will contribute to the global warming.
- Corruption. Although leaders of corrupt countries pay lip service to the need to stop the global warming, they put (at least) a part of the money needed for the implementation of the plans to stop it in their own pockets and spend the money on expenses for their own rich lifestyle which just contributes to the global warming.
- Viscosity. National political measures and measures by international organisations are rarely a matter of “this must be done so we’ll immediately carry them out”. Many people must be consulted. Conflicting interests must be reconciled. Those who are hit negatively must be compensated. Decision procedures take time. Etc. So, it’s a long way from what must be done to the realization of a plan.
- Nobody can force individual countries to fulfil targets set during international conferences. The leaders of individual countries may say “yes” and think “no”. Or there are all kinds of reasons that they cannot or are not prepared to make (realistic) national plans that have been agreed upon internationally.
- Possible risks and uncertainties. Once measures against the global warming have been taken, often they don’t work the way that was expected. This can have both technical causes and human causes. You cannot foresee everything, there are many physical and natural uncertainties and humans react always in a different manner than planners and politicians think. Reality is simply too complicated for human beings.
Without a doubt there are many other factors that will make it very difficult if not impossible to stop the global warming. I just listed ten reasons that came to my mind. The factors mentioned are mainly sociological and political, but I should have added psychological factors as well. But the message is clear: The current approach will not stop the global warming. Maybe we must prepare ourselves for the posthuman era (but of course this is a contradiction, for where there are no humans there is nothing to prepare for humans).
Source
Most of my argument is based on older blogs.
Thursday, May 16, 2024
Monday, May 13, 2024
Equivocation
When I was writing my blog about types of fallacies last week, I realized that I had given hardly any attention to fallacies of ambiguity, while I regularly explained fallacies of presumption and relevance. This is not surprising for in Arp et al. 2019, 43 fallacies of presumption and 34 fallacies of relevance are discussed but only 16 fallacies of ambiguity. If this is a measure, then the latter are by far in the minority, which doesn’t involve, however, that they are less frequent. The only fallacy of ambiguity I discussed is the conjunction fallacy, while I mentioned the sorites fallacy only in passing. So, a good reason to treat such a fallacy now.
I think – though it is just a guess – that one of the most common fallacies of this type is the fallacy of equivocation. It often appears in discussions and political speeches. This fallacy involves that a word or phrase is used with different meanings in an argumentation. You may think: Of course, that’s a matter of false reasoning. However, the distinctions between the different meanings are often subtle and you may not see them or you must be a logical expert, and maybe also the speaker didn’t notice the mistake. Here is a clear case: “The loss made Jones mad [= angry]; mad [= insane] people should be institutionalized; so Jones should be institutionalized.”) [1] “Mad” has two different meanings here, so the conclusion doesn’t follow. Here is another rather simple example of this type: Only man [human] is rational, and no woman is a man [male]. Therefore, no woman is rational. [2]
However, an equivocation can be rather subtle, as said. Bertha Alvarez Manninen starts her explanation of the fallacy in Arp et al 2019 with an equivocation by Pres. John F. Kennedy, who said: “And so my fellow Americans, ask not what your country can do for you, ask what you can do for your country.” The equivocation is here, so Manninen, that first “country” refers to the elected officials and then to something like your homeland, nation, or your fellow citizens.
The equivocation is even more subtle in a case analysed by the philosopher Mary Anne Warren and discussed by Manninen: I quote (pp. 262=3:
“Typically, a common pro-life argument runs as follows:
(1) All human beings have a right to life.
(2) A fetus is a human being.
(3) Therefore, the fetus has a right to life.
Warren … argues that an equivocation is made here with the term ‘human being’. In the first premise, [it] is a moral term, denoting the kinds of beings who are ‘a full-fledged member of the moral community.’… In the second premise, [it] is a biological term, denoting a member of the species Homo Sapiens. … A useful tool for determining whether an argument commits the fallacy of equivocation can be applied here: replace the premises of the argument explicitly with the term having the same meaning and then gauge whether the argument is successful.
(1) All human beings (in the moral sense) have a right to life.
(2) A fetus is a human being (in the moral sense).
(3) Therefore, the fetus has a right to life.
Seen this way, Warren argues that the pro-life argument commits the begging of the question fallacy in Premise 2 by assuming the very thing that needs to be argued [, namely] whether the fetus is a human being in the moral sense of the term... That is not to say that the fetus isn’t such a being but rather that this is the very thing that need to be argued rather than assumed.”
So far the quotation. Of course, alternatively one can add “(in the genetic sense)” in the premises instead of “(in the moral sense)”, etc. What this example makes clear is that discovering an equivocation often is hard, but it is necessary in order to get a meaningful debate. Its obscurity makes it an easy instrument of manipulation for politicians and orators by using ambiguous words or by using words in an ambiguous way.
However, you don’t need to be a politician, orator or a simple member of their public to commit the fallacy of equivocation. Also philosophers do, although they are supposedly experts in argumentation. Then we call it a category mistake. So, Heraclitus committed the fallacy of equivocation, or made a category mistake, when he said that you cannot step twice in the same river. By saying so, he confused the river and the water in the river. Another example is to confuse the mind and the brain. It is not our brain that thinks but our mind does. Also Descartes committed this fallacy, when he saw the mind sometimes as a thing and sometimes as a mental capacity.
Sources
- The numbers in brackets [ ] refer to the sources: Follow the links.
- Robert Arp; Steven Barbone; Michael Bruce (eds.), Bad arguments. 100 of the most important fallacies in Western philosophy. Oxford, etc.: Wiley Blackwell, 2019. Esp. Bertha Alvarez Manninen, “Equivocation”, pp. 261-5.
Thursday, May 09, 2024
Monday, May 06, 2024
Types of fallacies
In these blogs, now and then I write about fallacies. I think that this is important since the way we think has a big impact on the way we behave; on our private behaviour and our public behaviour. Therefore, it is better to avoid mistakes. As for public behaviour, one can think of political decisions and juridical verdicts, for instance. Especially, mistakes in juridical decisions can have dramatic consequences; for example, that an innocent suspect is sentenced to long prison terms, if not to the death penalty. Political decisions can lead to war or peace, so the reasoning that leads to such decisions must be sound. As for private behaviour, reasoning errors can have an impact on private life, such as wrong or too expensive purchases or voting for a president who doesn’t represent your interests, although you thought so. This time, I don’t want to discuss a special fallacy, but I want to give some background information.
Basically, there are two types of fallacies: Formal fallacies and informal fallacies. Both types of fallacies are based on incorrect deductive reasoning, but the difference is that in a formal fallacy, the conclusion doesn’t follow from the premises, because the structure or form of the reasoning is not correct, while in an informal fallacy the conclusion doesn’t follow from the premises because of the content of the argumentation. An important example of a formal fallacy we often come across in daily life is the “post hoc ergo propter hoc” fallacy (“post hoc ergo propter hoc” literally means “after this, so because of this”). An example: “If it has rained, the street is wet. This morning, when I woke up, the street was wet, so it has rained tonight.” This need not be true, for maybe a leaking tank lorry has passed. See this and this blog for more examples.
Although formal fallacies often happen in daily life, I think that informal fallacies are more frequent, especially in political discussions and other public discussions. Basically, there are three types of informal fallacies:
- Fallacy of presumption. It occurs, so Arp et.al (p. 22), “when an argument rests on some hidden assumption – it could be an unknown factor, a condition, set of circumstances, state of affairs, or idea – that, if not hidden, would make it clear that the assumption is not sufficient to be able to reason to (draw, infer) the conclusion.” The conjunction fallacy, discussed in one of my blogs (see link), is a case in point.
- Fallacy of relevance. It occurs, so Arp et.al (p. 25), when the premise or premises are irrelevant to the conclusion, even though they may appear so, because of an appeal to psychological or emotional relevance. Best known is the ad hominem fallacy (“playing the man instead of the ball”), discussed by me, for example, here and here. Also the “red herring” and “straw man” are fallacies of relevance.
- Fallacy of ambiguity. A fallacy of this type, so Arp et al. (p. 26), relies on some ambiguity (vagueness, obscurity, non-clarity) in wording or phrasing, the meanings of which shift/change to various degrees of subtlety during the course of the argument. The Sorites paradox is a case in point (“Take away again and again a grain of sand from a pile of sand; when is it no longer a pile?”) (see, for example, this blog). How often doesn’t it happen that the meaning of a word shifts during a discussion, or that it is so vague that you can use it for “any” conclusion by way of speaking?
This is how we often reason or how we try to convince others. But when we are doing so, we are on the wrong track.
Source
This blog is mainly based on the Introduction to Robert Arp; Steven Barbone; Michael Bruce (eds.), Bad arguments. 100 of the most important fallacies in Western philosophy. Oxford, etc.: Wiley Blackwell, 2019.
Thursday, May 02, 2024
Groups and individuals with weak positions in society are faced with weak enforcement of their rights, while at the same time with strong enforcement of their duties. Conversely, groups with strong positions in society are well able to combine strict enforcement of their rights with weak enforcement of their duties.
Monday, April 29, 2024
Elephant paths
Paved paths, roads and streets, and often unpaved ones as well, lead us where we want to go, from A to B. Some came into existence long ago, sometimes even in prehistory, and later they have become official roads. Other roads are new. Whatever their origin is, roads are ways for directing people. In modern society, they are the trails we are supposed to follow. As Michel de Certeau tells us (p.98): “[A] spatial order organizes an ensemble of possibilities … and interdictions” and roads are part of such a social order. If we leave them, maybe we come on private ground, or we violate some law or traffic rule.
Therefore, it is right to say that roads are manners of directing people and they are also often made that way. Roads are constructed that way that people follow them to their destinations in an orderly manner, and that way that people will avoid places where authorities don’t want to have them go. For instance, think of the main roads that avoid cities, towns and villages, discussed in my blog last week. Or, another example, parks have paths, so that the visitors don’t walk on the grass, – or not too much – even if it is allowed. Nevertheless, often people don’t follow them the prefab roads and paths. They think – intentionally or without being aware of it – that they are wiser than the planners. Often people don’t accept certain constructed roads or paths, for practical reasons, or for pleasure, or for other reasons, and they make their own shortcuts. Car drivers leave the main roads and follow secondary roads, when they think that by doing so they can reach their destinations faster or that they can avoid traffic jams; often to the annoyance of local residents and local authorities. Or it can happen that pedestrians don’t follow the constructed footpaths in a park but walk where they like and take shortcuts through the grass. When many people follow the same shortcut, finally you get a path. I think that everybody knows the spontaneous trails that come to exist in parks, on lawns, between roads, between official footpaths, etc. that are known by many names like desire paths, game trails, goat tracks, elephant paths and so on. Although there may be some slight differences between these kinds of unofficial footpaths, I want to summarize them under the name “elephant paths”. Maybe a shortcut is used only once by one person and then it will fade away. If that person uses the shortcut regularly, it has become a kind of private shortcut; a private passage. Maybe the passage will wear out or it will not. However, as soon as many people are going to use the same shortcut regularly, it will certainly wear out. Then, what was once a hardly visible trail has become a clear path, and it has become an unofficial passage; a path that came into existence by habit. It has become an “elephant path”. Once it is there, people may come to see it as an official path; as a real path. They will use it, if it leads to where they want to go. What once was a trail or even not more than a casual shortcut has become institutionalized by habit. Although by definition an elephant path originates spontaneously, sometimes it is recognized by the authorities and turned into an official path, for example by paving it. Sometimes planners leave a piece of land partially or fully unpaved, waiting till elephant paths have been created spontaneously and then paving them. Then elephant paths are used to make path networks.
Thursday, April 25, 2024
Monday, April 22, 2024
Highways and bypasses
Do you have to be an ethnologist to have an eye for the subtleties of daily life and for the subtle and small impact that social change has on daily life and on the way we live? It was the French ethnologist Marc Augé, for instance, who wrote that the names of metro stations in Paris reflect the time that these stations were built. I know that there is a Floppy Disk Road in a nearby Dutch town, and also in this case the name gives an indication about when the road was built. Floppy disks were magnetic disks for storing computer data and programs. They were developed in the 1960s and the production stopped in 2011. Once you know this, you can make a guess about when this road probably was built.
Augé is especially known for having developed the concept of non-place (non-lieu, in French), which I discussed in another blog (see here). He has drawn my attention also to a seemingly obvious phenomenon, which nevertheless had a very deep impact on society: the construction of ring roads and bypasses – bypasses, for short – around towns and villages. I grew up in a provincial capital with about 30,000 inhabitants and I can still remember that in those days all through traffic had to pass through the narrow streets in the centre. However, with the spectacularly growing numbers of cars and trucks in the 1960s this became a practically impossible situation. The solution was that the traffic was diverted around the city by building ring roads and bypasses. It goes without saying that this situation was not typical for the town where I grew up. Nearly all cities, towns and villages had the same problem, and the result is that nowadays main roads do not lead from town to town, from village to village and from village to town, but that they avoid populated areas and pass around them.
This reasonable and necessary change in the construction of road patterns was not without consequences for the now avoided cities, towns and villages. Roads that go through built-up areas, “penetrate the intimacy of daily life”, as Augé says it. Before bypasses were built, they crossed city centres, where people come together for all kinds of reasons, and they passed through residential areas where people live (who therefore screened themselves off from the often too curious eyes of passers-by). But travelling longer distances was then not as normal as it is today and as is possible today with the modern means of transport, like faster cars. Transport was slow and main roads had always been built through the towns and to the towns and villages, because you had to be there; because you wanted to go there to the market; because it was the administrative centre of your region; because your family and business relations lived there; etc. In case you didn’t need to be there, because your destination was farther away, you still had to go through the towns and villages, since there were no other roads. The traffic was not that heavy that it was necessary to build bypasses. In this way, passers-by learned about the local customs and about what was locally interesting. And many people enjoyed stopping at the local markets, taking a rest in a local café or spend the night in the city, for travelling was a slow affair anyway, and often you had to split up your travel into several stages.
This changed with the development of modern and faster means of transport and with the increasing number of people on the move. On the one hand, it became impossible to lead all traffic through built-up areas if not to speak of city centres any longer; on the other hand, people also became more in a hurry; they had no time to slow down and didn’t want to stop in intermediate places. Therefore, gradually, the main roads that went through those places were replaced by bypasses and highways that avoided them. The new main roads now passed the towns and villages; they passed around the towns and literally they became passages. Even more, modern highways often don’t connect places as such but begin and end somewhere near an important city or otherwise on the city’s edge. Intermediate places and the beginning and end of modern highways are connected with the highways by feeder roads, approach roads and exits. As a result, towns and villages which are passed by the highways are no longer meaningful market towns, historic towns, places worth stopping there on your trip etc., but they have become nothing but names on road signs from the viewpoint of the car drivers, even in case a highway happens to pass through a certain town. This is not only so for small towns and villages, but even so for metropolises. I have often been geographically in Paris, for the autoroute from the Netherlands to the south of France passes through the outskirts of Paris. Then you can even see the Eiffel Tower. Nevertheless, I have seldom really been there, for usually I didn’t turn off, and Paris was nothing more than a place to be passed for me, an insignificant town like any other place where I didn’t stop.
Because today main roads avoid intermediate places, their local markets, their local festivities, their historical buildings, etc. tend to be forgotten. Often only local people and people from the region still know them. They have kept a meaning only for local residents. Therefore, local authorities and tourist agencies place billboards along the highways with texts like: “Visit us, we are very interesting.” It is an attempt to rescue their towns or villages from oblivion. But most car drivers don’t stop; they don’t take the exits that lead to the temptations mentioned on the billboards. Once important and meaningful places have turned into quiet and forgotten local oddities.
Sources: Marc Augé, Un ethnologue dans le métro and Non-Lieux (here esp. pp. 122 ff.).
Thursday, April 18, 2024
Monday, April 15, 2024
Why hawks win (and doves lose)
Kahneman is known for his contributions to psychology and especially to economic psychology. He received the Nobel Prize in Economics for them. However, his work has a wider application. For example, it can be useful for the study of war and peace, as the article “Why Hawks Win” shows, which he has written with Jonathan Reshon. The authors argue that hawks usually get the upper hand over doves, when political decisions must be taken, although often wrongly. In this blog, I’ll follow Kahneman’s and Reshon’s article.
Hawks are people who “tend to favour coercive action, are more willing to use military force, and are more likely to doubt the value of offering concessions”. They think that enemies will “only understand the language of force”. Doves, on the other hand, doubt the usefulness of such means and prefer dialogue. Generally, there may be good arguments for both positions, but psychology suggests that politicians – and humans in general – have “a bias in favour of hawkish beliefs and preferences”, at the cost of dovish views. This is a consequence of a general human trait: to overestimate your capabilities and possibilities. Don’t most of us think that they are better drivers than the average driver? About 80% think so. Of course, that’s not possible, but “the same optimistic bias makes politicians and generals receptive to advisors who offer highly favourable estimates of the outcomes of war”, on both sides of a conflict, and this “is likely to produce a disaster.” The authors have listed 40 human biases and all of them appeared to favour hawks. They stress that this doesn’t mean that hawkish advisors are wrong, but they are likely to be more persuasive than they deserve to be.
Below I present the main factors that lead to pro-hawkish behaviour in times of conflict, as discussed by Kahneman and Reshon.
- Vision problems. People ignore the context in which others speak and behave and ignore their constraints, even if they know them. However, they assume that the other side knows their own context and restraints and takes them into account. In an international conflict setting this means that “a policy maker or diplomat involved in a tense exchange with a foreign government is likely to observe a great deal of hostile behaviour by that country’s representatives.” The other side behaves from a deep hostility or a striving for power, they think, and they “explain away their own behaviour as a result of being ‘pushed into a corner’ by an adversary.” However, the adversary thinks the same of you. Each side sees what the other does as provocation and as more hostile than it actually is. “The effect of this failure in conflict situations can be pernicious.”
- Excessive optimism. Most people believe themselves to be smarter, more attractive, and more talented than average, and they commonly overestimate their future success. (see the “planning fallacy in my blog last week). They also think that they can control the situation, while in fact this is not so. When politicians behave that way, it can have disastrous effects, especially if politicians are in the grip of this bias in the early phases of a conflict. “A hawk’s preference for military action over diplomatic measures is often built upon the assumption that victory will come easily and swiftly.” In August 1914, when Germany invaded Belgium on its way to France – which was the start of the First World War – both Germany and France thought that the war would end before Christmas. However, the war would last for more than four years instead of for four months.
- Underappreciating the proposals by others. In negotiations, proposals of the other side are seen as less valuable than the same or equal proposals done by yourself. There is an intuition that something is worth less simply because the other side has offered it. This makes “that a concession … offered by somebody perceived as hostile undermines the content of the proposal.” And this makes that violent solutions (like war) are chosen, when dovish solutions are still open, since “this bias is a significant stumbling block in negotiations between adversaries.”
- Loss aversion. (also mentioned in my blog last week) People have a deep aversion against cutting their losses, and prefer to go on even if there is only a very small chance to gain, instead of accepting a reasonable or actually inevitable loss. Therefore, politicians prefer to go on with a war, even if the consequences are worse for the citizens they lead.
These factors, and many more, make that the approaches proposed by hawks in international conflicts are more easily accepted than those proposed by doves. Now it is so that, according to Kahneman and Reshon, as such a hawkish position towards an adversary need not be bad. Show your teeth, I would characterize this view; or show that you are not a softy. However, too often, so the authors, a hawkish approach wins since hawkish approaches are overvalued because of an innate bias in the mind, with all its dangerous if not fatal consequences. Understanding the human biases can help preventing them.
Thursday, April 11, 2024
Monday, April 08, 2024
Daniel Kahneman (1934-2024)
Two weeks ago, the Israelian-American psychologist Daniel Kahneman died. He was one of the most well-known psychologists of this time. He is especially known for his contributions to the theory of rationality. His studies had a deep impact on the development of the field of economic psychology, and therefore he was rewarded with the Nobel Prize in Economics. To his mind, he should have shared it with his friend Amos Tversky, but Tversky had already died, when Kahneman received the Nobel Prize. Though some see him as the father of Economic Psychology, he sees himself as the grandfather, and his colleague and friend Richard Thaler as the person who really developed the field.
In my blogs, now and then I have paid attention to Kahneman’s studies. Here I’ll mention some of his main contributions to psychology.
- Many people believed that humans are rational beings and economists even have built their theories on this idea. However, they aren’t, or rather only for a part they are (compare the third point below). Kahneman and Tversky have shown that humans often display non-rational behaviour. One of their best-known studies showing this is what they call the “Asian disease problem”. In short it is this: An unusual Asian disease is expected to kill 600 people. There are two things you can do: If program A is adopted, 200 people will be saved, while if program B is adopted, there is a one-third probability that 600 people will be saved and a two-thirds probability that nobody will be saved. Most people prefer program A, so they prefer the certain option over the gamble. However, a second group of people has to choose between the next options: If program C is adopted, 400 people will die, and if program D is adopted, there is a one-third probability that nobody will die and a two-thirds probability that 600 people will die. Now most people prefer the second option (D), so they prefer the gamble over the certain option. However, option A vs. option B is exactly the same as C vs. D! What is different is the wording of the problem, but the consequences of programs A and C or B and D are identical. The choice is determined by the way the problem is framed and not by a rational choice based on the differences between the cases. Experts do not do better than lay people!
- Losses that people may suffer count by far more than possible gains. The loss aversion theory says that people do much more to avoid losses than to get gains, even if the gains may be more profitable. “Losses loom larger than gains”, so Kahneman and Tversky.
- Humans have two thinking systems in their minds for making decisions: System 1 and System 2. Although this is not a discovery of Kahneman (the terms “System 1 and System 2 come from Keith Stanovich and Richard West), the theory has been further developed and explained by him. Most of what we do is not rationally and consciously considered but we just do. We simply follow our intuition and feelings. If so, then we use System 1. It operates automatically and quickly, with little or no effort and no sense of voluntary control. However, it can happen that we must think actively and explicitly about what to do or decide, for example if our actions and decisions are not routine but complicated and require attention, or if we have the time. Then we use System 2. It allocates attention to effortful mental activities like complex computations.
- Taking part in a book writing project with others, Kahneman asked one of them, a planning expert, what was the chance that the project would fail and how long the project would yet last according to him. The answer was 40% and six years. If so, the participants would have stopped the project, but they thought that they could do it within two years. In the end, it took yet seven years and then nobody was interested in the book any longer. According to Kahneman, they had here “stumbled on a distinction between two profoundly different approaches to forecasting, which Amos [Tversky] and I later labelled the inside view and the outside view.” This distinction, so Kahneman, is important for avoiding the “planning fallacy”, a term coined by Tversky and Kahneman. It is the erroneous prediction of future task duration. Participants in a project or people doing individual tasks tend to underestimate the length and costs of the project or task, because they tend to overestimate their skills and capabilities and ignore possible risks and uncertainties, even if they know them. People who must estimate the success chances of their own work are usually simply too optimistic. They depend too much on the inside view. However, the planning fallacy is not unescapable. We can do something about it, or at least we can mitigate it by taking the outside view. This involves asking expert opinions about the likely costs and length of a project or task; comparing your project or task with historical cases; using objective criteria to judge whether your plan is realistic; etc. In short, do not use subjective inside information to judge your planning, but assess it objectively with the help of outside information in order to get a realistic idea how it will develop.
Kahneman did not keep his views for an inner circle of scholars and scientist but explained them in a way that everybody could understand. Everybody can easily learn about his views and profit by them by reading his book Thinking, Fast and Slow (Penguin Books, London, 2012). That is also a great merit of this eminent scholar.
Source: Daniel Kahneman, Thinking, Fast and Slow; my blogs (use the “Search this blog” search engine for finding the themes discussed in this blog).
Thursday, April 04, 2024
Monday, April 01, 2024
On each other’s shoulders
I think that many of us don’t realize how much we owe to others in what we have done and achieved, including to many we don’t know and whose work we do not build on and do not continue. I realized it again, when I was reading Aristotle’s Metaphysics, especially Book II.1, in which he says:
“The investigation of the truth is in one way hard, in another easy. An indication of this is found in the fact that no one is able to attain the truth adequately, while, on the other hand, we do not collectively fail, but everyone says something true about the nature of things, and while individually we contribute little or nothing to the truth, by the union of all a considerable amount is amassed.”
Here Aristotle says that much can be achieved only collectively and that, even in case the contribution of each of us is small, the overall result can be great. However, that we need others is not only true for collective results but also for individual results, so Aristotle:
“It is just that we should be grateful, not only to those with whose views we may agree, but also to those who have expressed more superficial views; for these also contributed something, by developing before us the powers of thought. It is true that if there had been no Timotheus we should have been without much of our lyric poetry; but if there had been no Phrynis there would have been no Timotheus. The same holds good of those who have expressed views about the truth; for from some thinkers we have inherited certain opinions, while the others have been responsible for the appearance of the former.”
We stand on the shoulders of others, or as Isaac Newton said (see my blog): “If I have seen further it is by standing on the shoulders of giants.” Newton stressed that that those on the top, like the best researchers and the best philosophers and everybody who is good if not excellent, build on the work of others, improve it etc. Everything we do could not have been done without what our predecessors have done before us. But Aristotle says here that those on whose shoulders we stand are also known because of those after them who used their ideas. That is certainly true as well. For instance, a composer who has been forgotten no longer counts, even if his music belongs to the best ever composed. Out of sight, out of mind.
However, there is more, I think. We stand not only on the shoulders of those whose work we use and continue, but also on the shoulders of those who made mistakes; who followed the wrong path, so that their work led to nothing; who are our contemporaries but whose work is inferior to ours; on the shoulders of those who simply participated in the discussion and did their work in their own ways without having any direct relation to what we are doing; etc.
Let me give an example. I my younger years, I participated in running competitions. My results were not bad, but they didn’t exceed the club level; good enough for being selected for the club team, but much below the national if not international level. Nevertheless, I always said: Without me, the top runners would not have been so good as they are now. I said it jokingly, but it was seriously meant. Without runners of my level and the levels below me (and also thanks to the few much better than me, of course), there wouldn’t be athletic clubs and there wouldn’t be competitions; there wouldn’t be national champions, international champions and Olympic champions. Good runners couldn’t prove that they were good and wouldn’t be selected. Of course, many people knew that they were good, but there wouldn’t be competitions, selections and championships. Or, if we think of other fields of activity, there wouldn’t be bad arguments that good philosophers could correct; there wouldn’t be scientists who would have to correct the mistakes of bad science, etc. Without an infrastructure built by the unknown and the anonymous there wouldn’t be scientific journals; those journals wouldn’t be printed etc. Need I go on? I think that the message is clear: Everyone who is good in his field owns a lot to bunglers and duffers and to those who do their work in silence.
Thursday, March 28, 2024
If … one were to say that a word has an infinite number of meanings, obviously reasoning would be impossible; for not to have one meaning is to have no meaning, and if words have no meaning our reasoning with one another, and indeed with ourselves, has been annihilated; for it is impossible to think of anything if we do not think of one thing…
Monday, March 25, 2024
Antigone’s moral problem
of Stravinsky’s Oedipus Rex and Moussa’s Antigone
in the Music Theatre in Amsterdam. Antigone is the
woman in the middle in light dress.
Recently the Dutch National Opera (DNO) performed two oratorios based on Greek mythology and classical plays: Igor Stravinsky’s Oedipus Rex and Samy Moussa’s Antigone. Oedipus Rex is about fate and deals with the question: Can we escape fate, and can we take control of our own destiny? In modern terms we would say: Does free will exist? It’s an eternal and still much debated problem. However, here I want to raise Antigone’s moral question, treated in Moussa’s oratorio.
For the story, I follow the version on the DNO website:
Eteocles and Polynices have agreed to rule the Greek city of Thebes jointly but they end up fighting one another. Eteocles has seized sole power and Polynices has gathered troops to attack Thebes. The battle ends in a duel in which the two brothers kill one another. Creon, the new King of Thebes, tries to restore order. He arranges a ceremonial burial for Eteocles but forbids the burial of Polynices’ corpse on pain of death. He wants the body of the brother who attacked his own city to rot away on the battlefield – a cruel punishment that deprives Polynices of the possibility of finding rest in the Underworld after his death. Antigone, the sister of Eteocles and Polynices, cannot bear this violation of her sacred duty to her brother Polynices. She secretly arranges a symbolic funeral. Creon’s soldiers see this and report the incident to the king. Creon condemns Antigone to death and confines her in a tomb that is bricked up. Warned by the seer Tiresias, he has Antigone’s tomb opened, but she has already hanged herself.
The tragedy of Antigone deals with a question that has been around for as long as there is authority or at least as long as there are states: Should we follow the rules of the state or of the authority that is superior to us, or should we follow our own private morals and let our own consciousness speak? I’ll call it Antigone’s problem. It is the problem of the conscientious objector of compulsory military service, but it is also the problem of the official who gets the order from his section chief or directly from the minister to implement a certain law, even in case the official thinks that this law is unreasonable and leads to innocent victims, as in the Dutch childcare benefits scandal. But Antigone’s problem is not only a possible moral conflict between state and individual but it can happen everywhere where authority is at stake, for instance when for moral reasons an employee refuses to perform a task set by his employer. Moreover, the consequences of refusing a state law or, for instance, a private order by an employer are not futile but serious, like Antigone’s refusal to follow Creon’s order. In addition, the refusal is not simply a practical affair but it is a moral decision; it is based on a conscientious objection. The right to follow your conscience is at stake.
Many thinkers have racked their brains about Antigone’s problem, but nobody has found a real solution. I even think that a general solution does not exist. Take the example of conscientious objection of compulsory military service. In case of a war or a threatening war against a nation adult men – why usually not also women? – of a certain age are summoned “to do their duty” and to join the army and fight the enemy, if necessary in the front line, where you directly confront the enemy and possibly must kill the enemy. This was so, for instance, during World War I and II; during the Cold War; and now it is so in Ukraine and Russia. At first sight, this may seem obvious, but a substantial number of men try to escape their “duty” for several reasons. These men are often considered “unpatriotic” or “cowards” by others, whatever these words may mean. However, it is not as simple as that. For simplicity, I ignore practical and pure political reasons and focus on moral reasons for the refusal to serve. One moral reason is based on the need to destroy the enemy; concretely, on killing humans. In civil life killing is considered immoral, disgusting or which word you want to use. It is beyond all limits and there must be good grounds for doing so, which always must be justified afterwards. Normally, killing a human leads to a heavy penalty, if not the death penalty in many countries. Then, in war, it suddenly is different. Here I must think of a saying of Sebastian Castellio (1515-1563), criticizing Calvin who justified the burning on the stake of a heretic, which I discussed long ago in a blog: “Killing a man is not defending a doctrine, it is killing a man”. Is it different if we change this quote into “Killing a man is not defending a country, it is killing a man”? And then not only once, but often regularly, as Guy Chapman, a soldier in the First World War, wrote: “If you start a man killing, you cannot turn him off like a machine”. (see here) Is it strange then that men called up for military service have a moral problem, because what is forbidden and rejected in daily life now must be done in war? That what normally goes against human feelings and morality now is allowed, no often ordered, to do? This has nothing to do with lacking patriotic feelings and with cowardice but everything with Antigone’s problem; it is a problem of conscience. This doesn’t mean that there may be no real reasons to defend a country militarily.
Sometimes a practical solution can be found for Antigone’s problem. As for my example, many countries have laws that leaves room for conscientious objectors of military service. However, as said, there are no general solutions for the problem. Just therefore it is important to give it much attention and to be open to the problem and to try to find practical solutions, when necessary.







