Random quote
Above all a man should take heed, if he can, of falling into the hands
of a judge who is an enemy and victorious.
Michel de Montaigne (1533-1592)
a) Motivation = Expectancy x Value
High scores
on expectancy and value give high motivation and low scores give low motivation,
as this formula shows.
However,
that’s not all. Maybe you are very motivated, but why acting now? The deadline
is yet far away, you think. And the later the task needs to be done and your
goal needs to be reached, the more you are inclined to postpone working on them.
Therefore formula a) must be divided by the “delay”: the time you
have till the deadline. So we get:
Formula b says that your motivation will decrease the farther away in future your task or goal is. However, so Steel, there is yet a fourth factor that has a clear impact on motivation: We need also to take account of someone’s character (although Steel doesn’t use this word). Some persons want to get things now instead of later, if they can choose, even if it would be profitable to get them later. For other persons it’s not a problem to wait if it is worth it. People who tend to take what they get now instead of what they get later, tend to postpone working on goals yet far away. “Why not going out with my friends this evening; that exam will be only next month”, a student may think. But if she thinks too often so, in the end she may lack enough time for a good preparation. So the more you tend to be distracted by less important tasks or by (futile) pleasures now, the more you tend to postpone working on the more important task with a deadline still far away. Steel calls this character trait “impulsiveness”. Because it diminishes your motivation, it must be put in the denominator of the formula. Then we get:
Now we are done and we have got, what Steel calls, the Procrastination Equation (see note below). In his book Steel describes also types of procrastinators. Some procrastinate because their expectancy in the task to do is usually low; others often give a low value to their tasks; again others are impulsive. And, of course, some people are a mixture of these types. Whatever type of procrastinator you are, if you are, the procrastination equation shows what the factors are you can work on in order to “deprocrastinate” yourself, and what the effects of these factors are. How to do that? Steels gives many tips or you can find them on the internet.
Note
For technical reasons, also a constant +1 must be
added in the denominator of the formula. See the Penguin
edition of Steel’s book, p. 37, and see here.
Something to think about
“Based on data on armed conflicts between 2004 and
2007, the Geneva Declaration Secretariat suggests that, ‘a reasonable average
estimate would be a ratio of four indirect deaths to one direct death in
contemporary conflicts.”
From Saba Bazargan, “Noncombatant immunity and
war-profiteering”, in Seth Lazar and Helen Frowe (eds.), The Oxford Handbook
of Ethics of War. New York: Oxford University Press, 2018; pp. 358-362. The
quotation is from p. 376.
Why should it be
different for the present conflicts in the world?
In view of the present times, I have uploaded this triptych by Otto Dix instead of my regular weekly blog.